The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?
This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.
'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday
'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent
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The Black Swan 9780141034591 Paperback
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- Authors:
- Taleb, Nassim Nicholas
- Year Published:
- 2008
- Country of Publication:
- United Kingdom
- Format:
- Paperback
- ISBN:
- 9780141034591
- Number of Pages:
- 480
- Publication Date:
- 28/02/2008
- Publisher:
- Penguin Books Ltd
- Publication Date:
- 28/02/2008
- Place of Publication:
- London
- Language:
- English
- SKU:
- 9780141034591